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huangcongmeng

0x3d2af0...894a3a
Smart Score
47
Win Rate
58.3%
Total P&L
+$396
Trade Count
150
Sharpe Ratio
0.66
Sortino Ratio
7.39
Max Drawdown
8210.6%
ROI
3.7%
Profit Factor
4.56
Kelly Fraction
0.455
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
047.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C or higher on March 5?BUY1.3¢38Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 58°F or higher on March 4?BUY99.3¢0.91Mar 4
Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY91.0¢0.04Mar 4
Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY91.0¢34.444Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 58°F or higher on March 4?BUY99.3¢215.714Mar 4
Will Nepali Congress win the third-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY5.5¢45.273Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 4?BUY5.6¢50.989Mar 3
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on March 3?BUY97.5¢117.2Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 3?BUY99.3¢0.64Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 3?BUY99.3¢240Mar 3
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 4 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?BUY0.7¢235.714Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on March 2?BUY99.3¢238.571Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 2?BUY0.6¢238.333Mar 1
Will Donald Trump endorse Wesley Hunt for the Texas Republican Senate primary by March 2, 2026?BUY1.7¢120.588Mar 1
Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be between $411,000 and $413,000 by March 1?BUY3.0¢74.667Feb 28
Will Chase Infiniti win Best Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?BUY3.1¢52.258Feb 28
Will Bill or Hillary publicly testify before congress by Feb 28?BUY1.9¢142.105Feb 27
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?BUY98.9¢0.26Feb 27
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?BUY3.0¢94Feb 27
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?BUY98.9¢232.727Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%33%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%66%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing47.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.60
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.0%
Win Consistency44.5%
Profit Factor1.23
Drawdown Resilience0.99
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.99
Weekly Sharpe est.0.76
Trading Activity150 trades · 56 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$10,5390d profit55d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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