huangtaoyan

0x7658d6...6db90b

Smart Score

Win Rate

67.3%

Total P&L

+$185

Trade Count

143

Sharpe Ratio

0.27

Sortino Ratio

1.95

Max Drawdown

7779.3%

ROI

1.6%

Profit Factor

1.75

Kelly Fraction

0.288

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	8.0¢	18.25	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 5?	BUY	97.1¢	14.13	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 5?	BUY	97.1¢	37.25	Mar 5
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be less than 60?	BUY	98.4¢	45	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 5?	BUY	4.0¢	38.6	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 5?	BUY	98.7¢	142	Mar 4
Will Sushila Karki be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	0.6¢	166.667	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 4?	BUY	97.3¢	233.333	Mar 3
Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	92.0¢	22.63	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or below on March 2?	BUY	92.7¢	9.04	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or below on March 2?	BUY	92.7¢	10.663	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 2?	BUY	98.9¢	0.78	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 2?	BUY	98.9¢	240.909	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 2?	BUY	0.6¢	248.333	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 1?	BUY	98.7¢	0.34	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 1?	BUY	98.7¢	4.36	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 1?	BUY	98.7¢	1.32	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 1?	BUY	98.7¢	237.538	Mar 1
Will the median home value in Miami be greater than $1,220,000 by March 1?	BUY	2.4¢	68.413	Feb 28
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?	BUY	99.3¢	0.41	Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.26

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.8%

Win Consistency28.7%

Profit Factor0.60

Drawdown Resilience0.48

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.48

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity143 trades · 64 active days

P&L Calendar

$11,6350d profit64d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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