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HunchexBot

0x5f4080...f26e9e
Smart Score
20
Win Rate
56.3%
Total P&L
-$883
Trade Count
3,483
Sharpe Ratio
0.08
Sortino Ratio
3.34
Max Drawdown
2207.7%
ROI
-4.1%
Profit Factor
0.77
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
020.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY82.0¢10Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY82.8¢10Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?BUY87.8¢10Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY89.4¢10Mar 4
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 March 2-8?BUY72.0¢5Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY83.0¢15Mar 4
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? SELL82.0¢5Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?BUY90.1¢12Mar 4
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?BUY64.0¢12Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY28.0¢12Mar 4
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL69.0¢5Mar 4
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?SELL96.6¢5Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY29.0¢8Mar 4
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?BUY64.0¢8Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY82.0¢15Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY89.8¢10Mar 4
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?BUY85.0¢10Mar 4
Will Trump visit China by April 30?SELL86.0¢5Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY72.0¢8Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY25.0¢12Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%5%10–20%6%20–30%13%30–50%25%50–70%19%70–80%26%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.12
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.5%
Win Consistency45.8%
Profit Factor0.53
Drawdown Resilience0.43
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43
Weekly Sharpe est.0.32
Trading Activity3,368 trades · 173 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7,58320d profit153d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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