hunshui

0x8e1b56...30f002

Smart Score

Win Rate

62.6%

Total P&L

+$548

Trade Count

159

Sharpe Ratio

0.58

Sortino Ratio

22.19

Max Drawdown

198.2%

ROI

2.3%

Profit Factor

1.46

Kelly Fraction

0.197

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

034.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	66.9¢	24.38	Mar 5
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	SELL	72.0¢	22.65	Mar 5
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	67.5¢	150.92	Mar 3
Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?	SELL	6.9¢	70.65	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	73.6¢	233.162	Mar 3
Will China join the Board of Peace?	SELL	93.1¢	54.94	Mar 3
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	SELL	96.7¢	163.57	Mar 3
Will Germany join the Board of Peace?	SELL	93.5¢	110.79	Mar 3
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?	SELL	92.4¢	69.44	Mar 3
Will Opinion launch a token on March 4?	SELL	99.3¢	470.94	Mar 3
Will France join the Board of Peace?	SELL	96.7¢	23.52	Mar 3
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	SELL	97.1¢	189.96	Mar 3
Will Opinion launch a token on March 4?	BUY	96.0¢	262.615	Mar 1
Will Opinion launch a token on March 4?	BUY	96.0¢	208.333	Mar 1
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?	BUY	1.3¢	386.402	Feb 10
XRP Up or Down - February 9, 1AM ET	BUY	0.6¢	167.207	Feb 9
Solana Up or Down - February 9, 1AM ET	BUY	98.0¢	25.51	Feb 9
Solana Up or Down - February 9, 1AM ET	BUY	97.9¢	30.643	Feb 9
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	SELL	91.0¢	502.16	Feb 5
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	SELL	99.4¢	103.62	Feb 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing34.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.91

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.7%

Win Consistency62.0%

Profit Factor0.90

Drawdown Resilience0.73

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73

Weekly Sharpe est.0.56

Trading Activity159 trades · 32 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,8836d profit25d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue