Huohuoou

0x21f43a...87f78a@pybja73384933
Smart Score
17
Win Rate
87.7%
Total P&L
-$87
Trade Count
58
Sharpe Ratio
0.27
Sortino Ratio
0.34
Max Drawdown
72.9%
ROI
-3.7%
Profit Factor
0.24
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
017/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.9¢2.022Mar 5
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?BUY98.9¢1.011Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY99.9¢75.075Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY91.6¢27.293Mar 2
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY99.6¢5.02Feb 26
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY99.9¢5.005Feb 26
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?BUY99.9¢3.003Feb 26
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY99.4¢30.181Feb 26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY99.8¢20.04Feb 26
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?BUY99.9¢2.002Feb 26
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?BUY99.9¢5.005Feb 26
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?BUY99.9¢5.005Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY99.9¢75.545Feb 13
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?BUY99.7¢75.466Feb 12
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?BUY98.6¢75.243Feb 10
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?BUY99.6¢74.187Feb 10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY99.9¢73.893Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?BUY99.9¢73.813Feb 7
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?BUY99.8¢73.747Feb 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?BUY99.8¢73.597Feb 2
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%7%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%3%80–90%83%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing17

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.94
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.5%
Win Consistency61.4%
Profit Factor0.44
Drawdown Resilience0.36
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.36
Weekly Sharpe est.0.27
Trading Activity58 trades · 29 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,3450d profit29d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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