icel

0x570e31...4a6c50@icel59581226

Smart Score

Win Rate

91.1%

Total P&L

+$8

Trade Count

247

Sharpe Ratio

0.10

Sortino Ratio

0.08

Max Drawdown

21799.3%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

1.24

Kelly Fraction

0.175

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 5?	BUY	91.0¢	21.978	Mar 5
Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	96.9¢	20.64	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 2-8?	BUY	98.4¢	11.179	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 2-8?	BUY	99.0¢	11.111	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?	BUY	92.9¢	107.643	Feb 5
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	0.8¢	69.73	Feb 5
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	0.8¢	352.8	Feb 5
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	0.7¢	279.96	Feb 5
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	0.8¢	202.47	Feb 5
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	0.9¢	210.13	Feb 5
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	0.9¢	345.42	Feb 5
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	0.9¢	555.556	Feb 5
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	0.7¢	279.964	Feb 5
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	0.8¢	625	Feb 5
Will Claude 5 be released on February 5, 2026?	BUY	92.0¢	13.043	Feb 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?	BUY	98.5¢	11.167	Feb 5
Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?	BUY	85.0¢	11.765	Feb 5
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	0.7¢	465.71	Feb 3
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	0.7¢	303.91	Feb 3
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	0.7¢	230.38	Feb 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.03

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.0%

Win Consistency62.7%

Profit Factor0.49

Drawdown Resilience0.39

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.39

Weekly Sharpe est.0.30

Trading Activity239 trades · 66 active days

P&L Calendar

$5,2365d profit61d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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