Idkfaiddqd

0x810114...688689

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.7%

Total P&L

+$150

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.39

Sortino Ratio

38.15

Max Drawdown

233.3%

ROI

24.7%

Profit Factor

2.42

Kelly Fraction

0.227

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

036.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	12.0¢	83.333	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	10.0¢	190.18	Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	17.0¢	58.824	Mar 5
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?	BUY	29.0¢	34.483	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	2.6¢	190.185	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	SELL	24.0¢	38.46	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	15.8¢	21.646	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	81.0¢	61.728	Mar 3
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	57.0¢	17.544	Mar 2
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?	BUY	37.0¢	27.027	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	99.8¢	47.61	Mar 1
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?	SELL	2.7¢	114.02	Mar 1
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 1, 2026?	SELL	0.8¢	15.78	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	BUY	32.0¢	15.625	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	BUY	58.0¢	17.241	Mar 1
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	BUY	13.0¢	38.462	Mar 1
Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?	SELL	3.1¢	25.06	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	59.8¢	33.445	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	40.8¢	48.976	Feb 28
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?	BUY	4.4¢	114.027	Feb 28

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing36.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.99

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.9%

Win Consistency45.2%

Profit Factor0.94

Drawdown Resilience0.76

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.76

Weekly Sharpe est.0.58

Trading Activity59 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$636d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue