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IG1960

0x2d45f3...2c4099
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
16.7%
Total P&L
-$33
Trade Count
36
Sharpe Ratio
2.11
Sortino Ratio
994.82
Max Drawdown
30.3%
ROI
-38.9%
Profit Factor
0.22
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?BUY22.0¢4.955Mar 5
Will "Performance" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY15.0¢13.333Mar 4
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?BUY33.0¢6.061Mar 4
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY10.0¢10Mar 4
Will "Most Advanced" or "Most Powerful" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY15.0¢6.667Mar 4
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY12.6¢15.873Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Baby" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 4
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?SELL99.5¢11.9Mar 4
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?BUY42.0¢11.905Feb 25
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.3¢333.333Feb 25
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY14.0¢14.286Feb 24
Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY15.0¢13.333Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETBUY4.5¢22.162Feb 20
Will Sweden win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.5¢200Feb 20
Will China win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.1¢1,000Feb 20
Will Norway win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.3¢1,006.093Feb 20
Will Japan win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.1¢1,000Feb 20
Will Austria win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.1¢1,000Feb 20

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%55%< 10%26%10–20%3%20–30%6%30–50%6%50–70%70–80%80–90%3%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.89
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.3%
Win Consistency41.4%
Profit Factor0.89
Drawdown Resilience0.72
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.72
Weekly Sharpe est.0.55
Trading Activity36 trades · 6 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$421d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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