ikaiser88

0x3a312e...a59784

Smart Score

Win Rate

77.1%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

108

Sharpe Ratio

-0.33

Sortino Ratio

-0.46

Max Drawdown

2393.9%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

1.04

Kelly Fraction

0.029

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on March 5?	SELL	30.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	SELL	82.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	27.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	84.0¢	10	Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	SELL	13.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on March 5?	BUY	79.0¢	5	Mar 4
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 4?	SELL	13.0¢	10	Mar 4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	BUY	17.0¢	5	Mar 3
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 4?	BUY	69.4¢	10	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 15?	BUY	86.0¢	6.977	Dec 15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 15?	BUY	7.0¢	14.286	Dec 15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 15?	SELL	97.4¢	6.37	Dec 15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 15?	BUY	97.2¢	6.379	Dec 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 10?	BUY	92.0¢	5.652	Dec 10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 9?	SELL	99.9¢	6.08	Dec 9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 9?	BUY	98.6¢	6.085	Dec 9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 8?	BUY	93.0¢	75.269	Dec 8
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 December 1-7?	BUY	98.9¢	70.785	Dec 7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 7?	SELL	99.9¢	74.03	Dec 7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 7?	BUY	95.9¢	74.035	Dec 7

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.47

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.7%

Win Consistency27.3%

Profit Factor0.22

Drawdown Resilience0.18

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.18

Weekly Sharpe est.0.14

Trading Activity108 trades · 59 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,4864d profit55d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue