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iljwe0kw

0x393fde...79f582
Smart Score
36
Win Rate
85.7%
Total P&L
-$5
Trade Count
471
Sharpe Ratio
0.46
Sortino Ratio
1.12
Max Drawdown
6903.6%
ROI
-0.0%
Profit Factor
10.02
Kelly Fraction
0.772
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
035.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL94.6¢44.24Mar 5
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY96.9¢44.24Mar 4
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL97.1¢47.97Mar 4
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY96.6¢30.86Mar 4
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY96.6¢17.11Mar 4
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL94.7¢49.58Mar 4
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY95.0¢49.58Mar 4
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL97.4¢48.4Mar 4
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY97.5¢48.41Mar 3
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.0¢54.62Mar 3
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.0¢54.62Mar 3
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?SELL97.5¢49.33Mar 3
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?BUY97.7¢49.33Mar 2
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL92.1¢52.27Feb 28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY92.3¢52.27Feb 28
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL92.5¢46.95Feb 28
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY92.7¢46.95Feb 28
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL96.3¢50.54Feb 28
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY96.4¢50.54Feb 28
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?SELL95.2¢47.72Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing35.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.97
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.7%
Win Consistency39.7%
Profit Factor0.93
Drawdown Resilience0.75
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75
Weekly Sharpe est.0.57
Trading Activity471 trades · 30 active days
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P&L Calendar
$739d profit21d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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