imjustafarmer

0x7fec55...f0c965

Smart Score

Win Rate

48.5%

Total P&L

+$56.4K

Trade Count

3,175

Sharpe Ratio

0.24

Sortino Ratio

14.18

Max Drawdown

404.0%

ROI

26.5%

Profit Factor

7.37

Kelly Fraction

0.419

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

045.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	71.0¢	1,000	Mar 5
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?	BUY	87.4¢	585.04	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	BUY	83.0¢	3,000	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	BUY	83.0¢	3,000	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	78.0¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	72.4¢	35.64	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	72.4¢	108.696	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	71.5¢	9,615.66	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	72.4¢	130	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	72.4¢	70	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	72.4¢	40	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	3.8¢	1,443.91	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	3.8¢	139.34	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	3.8¢	10.395	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	3.8¢	2.079	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	3.8¢	2.079	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	3.8¢	541.29	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	3.8¢	15	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	3.8¢	112.67	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	3.8¢	51.28	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing45.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.51

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)41.5%

Win Consistency53.2%

Profit Factor1.19

Drawdown Resilience0.96

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.96

Weekly Sharpe est.0.73

Trading Activity3,175 trades · 42 active days

P&L Calendar

$48,3386d profit36d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue