iopuill

0x767a53...07b74a

Smart Score

Win Rate

47.8%

Total P&L

+$612

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.52

Sortino Ratio

11.64

Max Drawdown

264.2%

ROI

11.4%

Profit Factor

13.69

Kelly Fraction

0.443

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

045.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	98.0¢	840	Mar 5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	2.2¢	672.727	Feb 24
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	2.8¢	480	Jan 20
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?	SELL	98.3¢	180	Jan 14
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?	BUY	99.0¢	180	Jan 13
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	2.4¢	270	Jan 11
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	2.5¢	270	Jan 8
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	BUY	98.5¢	188.193	Dec 22
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?	SELL	99.3¢	180	Dec 14
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?	BUY	99.2¢	180	Dec 10
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	2.1¢	210	Dec 8
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?	BUY	3.1¢	210	Dec 5
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	98.1¢	190	Dec 3
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	98.1¢	190	Dec 2
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	6.0¢	220.03	Dec 1
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	6.1¢	220.035	Nov 30
Will Jannik Sinner be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	SELL	99.4¢	188.58	Nov 28
Will Jannik Sinner be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	BUY	99.3¢	188.58	Nov 26
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?	SELL	2.5¢	220.07	Nov 25
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	2.6¢	220.074	Nov 24

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing45.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.51

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)41.6%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor1.19

Drawdown Resilience0.96

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.96

Weekly Sharpe est.0.73

Trading Activity45 trades · 45 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,07220d profit25d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue