ioughyft

0x4fcec9...89241d

Smart Score

Win Rate

95.2%

Total P&L

+$37

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.17

Sortino Ratio

-1.14

Max Drawdown

806.7%

ROI

3.3%

Profit Factor

607.34

Kelly Fraction

0.951

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 39°F or below on March 6?	BUY	99.8¢	61.122	Mar 5
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	250	Mar 2
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	250	Feb 28
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	7.092	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on February 16?	BUY	99.8¢	30.06	Feb 16
Will Solana reach $200 in February?	BUY	99.3¢	19.134	Feb 6
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on February 4?	BUY	99.5¢	25.126	Feb 2
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on February 4?	BUY	99.7¢	22.066	Feb 2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A	BUY	58.0¢	86.207	Feb 2
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 43°C on February 2?	BUY	99.9¢	29.029	Feb 1
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 41°F or below on January 30?	BUY	99.9¢	12.012	Jan 30
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 42-43°F on January 30?	BUY	99.9¢	23.023	Jan 30
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 41°F or below on January 30?	BUY	99.9¢	25.025	Jan 29
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 64-65°F on January 29?	BUY	99.9¢	30.03	Jan 29
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 41°F or below on January 29?	BUY	99.9¢	24.024	Jan 29
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 36-37°F on January 26?	BUY	99.9¢	27.027	Jan 26
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 36-37°F on January 26?	BUY	99.9¢	27.027	Jan 26
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 31°F or below on January 26?	BUY	99.9¢	11.011	Jan 25
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 38°F or higher on January 26?	BUY	99.9¢	22.022	Jan 25
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 61°F or below on January 10?	BUY	99.9¢	31.031	Jan 9

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.46

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.2%

Win Consistency22.7%

Profit Factor0.69

Drawdown Resilience0.56

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56

Weekly Sharpe est.0.43

Trading Activity25 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

$6111d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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