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ISIM

ISIM

0x659c9a...4a4b97
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
20.8%
Total P&L
+$417
Trade Count
151
Sharpe Ratio
0.40
Sortino Ratio
11.41
Max Drawdown
236.7%
ROI
48.5%
Profit Factor
3.07
Kelly Fraction
0.141
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
028.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY6.2¢16.129Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY1.2¢83.333Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY10.6¢9.434Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY3.5¢28.571Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY42.5¢11.765Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?BUY10.5¢47.619Mar 4
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY3.5¢28.571Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY6.5¢15.385Mar 4
Kurds declare independence from Iran?BUY33.0¢9.091Mar 4
Kurds declare independence from Iran?BUY28.0¢14.286Mar 4
Kurds declare independence from Iran?BUY28.0¢3.571Mar 4
Kurds declare independence from Iran?BUY27.0¢9.29Mar 4
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY8.2¢60.675Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?BUY8.0¢12.5Mar 4
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?BUY38.0¢13.158Mar 3
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?BUY65.0¢15.385Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?BUY14.0¢35.714Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY0.4¢250Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY1.3¢78.238Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY3.4¢29.143Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%51%< 10%21%10–20%10%20–30%12%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.59
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.3%
Win Consistency35.0%
Profit Factor0.75
Drawdown Resilience0.61
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61
Weekly Sharpe est.0.46
Trading Activity151 trades · 41 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7551d profit40d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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