Itlliccaa

0x395c35...42ee8d

Smart Score

Win Rate

34.5%

Total P&L

+$7.0K

Trade Count

910

Sharpe Ratio

0.99

Sortino Ratio

570.05

Max Drawdown

502.7%

ROI

71.9%

Profit Factor

38.30

Kelly Fraction

0.336

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

046.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.9¢	23	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	23	Mar 5
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	BUY	94.8¢	22	Mar 5
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	94.6¢	22	Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	90.8¢	22	Mar 5
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 6% or more?	SELL	0.2¢	66.59	Mar 3
Will Starmer say "Labour" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	BUY	0.1¢	39.76	Feb 25
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 20 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?	BUY	0.1¢	38.61	Feb 23
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 20 be greater than 2,800,000?	BUY	0.1¢	30.85	Feb 23
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 18 be less than 2,000,000?	BUY	0.1¢	32.66	Feb 21
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 17 be less than 2,000,000?	BUY	0.1¢	26.83	Feb 21
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 18 be greater than 2,800,000?	BUY	0.1¢	36.34	Feb 21
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 19 be less than 2,000,000?	BUY	0.1¢	27.77	Feb 21
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 17 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?	BUY	0.1¢	27.01	Feb 21
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 18 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?	BUY	0.1¢	32.89	Feb 21
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 17 be greater than 2,800,000?	BUY	0.1¢	15.89	Feb 21
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 19 be greater than 2,800,000?	BUY	0.1¢	32.11	Feb 21
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 18 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?	BUY	0.1¢	26.83	Feb 21
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 17 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?	BUY	0.1¢	19.8	Feb 21
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 17 be greater than 2,800,000?	BUY	0.1¢	11.68	Feb 21

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing46.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.57

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)42.6%

Win Consistency74.4%

Profit Factor1.22

Drawdown Resilience0.98

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.98

Weekly Sharpe est.0.75

Trading Activity910 trades · 127 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,35796d profit31d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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