J-Powell

0x5bfa06...d4f779
Smart Score
39
Win Rate
53.2%
Total P&L
+$4.5K
Trade Count
651
Sharpe Ratio
1.40
Sortino Ratio
42.79
Max Drawdown
204.3%
ROI
19.7%
Profit Factor
1.95
Kelly Fraction
0.259
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
038.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Nothing Ever Happens: MarchSELL16.0¢5Mar 4
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?SELL15.0¢36.02Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL13.0¢177.33Mar 4
Nothing Ever Happens: MarchBUY20.0¢5Mar 4
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?BUY22.0¢9.96Mar 4
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?BUY22.0¢1.3Mar 4
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?BUY22.0¢7.55Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY17.0¢23.52Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY22.0¢14.54Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY23.0¢14.54Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY24.0¢14.54Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY35.0¢7.84Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY14.0¢12.37Mar 4
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in March 2026?BUY31.0¢6.16Mar 3
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?BUY36.0¢9.52Mar 3
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?BUY30.0¢11.11Mar 3
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?BUY30.0¢11.11Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY18.0¢16.66Mar 3
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?BUY20.0¢9.81Mar 3
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?BUY20.0¢5Mar 3
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%15%< 10%28%10–20%16%20–30%10%30–50%9%50–70%6%70–80%9%80–90%6%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing38.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.14
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.4%
Win Consistency58.6%
Profit Factor1.01
Drawdown Resilience0.82
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.82
Weekly Sharpe est.0.62
Trading Activity651 trades · 32 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5,6819d profit23d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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