ja4

0x501b9b...fafba0

Smart Score

Win Rate

36.5%

Total P&L

-$142

Trade Count

115

Sharpe Ratio

-1.22

Sortino Ratio

-2.28

Max Drawdown

591.5%

ROI

-1.7%

Profit Factor

0.56

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	BUY	85.0¢	311.541	Mar 5
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?	SELL	49.3¢	537.28	Mar 5
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?	BUY	56.0¢	44.224	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	38.6¢	64.1	Mar 5
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?	BUY	61.0¢	71.852	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	31.2¢	64.103	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	69.0¢	92.47	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	70.7¢	92.475	Mar 4
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?	SELL	61.0¢	81.85	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	SELL	20.0¢	77.26	Mar 4
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?	BUY	75.2¢	357.7	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	SELL	69.0¢	389.61	Mar 1
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?	BUY	74.8¢	324.459	Mar 1
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?	SELL	53.0¢	112.92	Mar 1
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	SELL	24.1¢	431.93	Mar 1
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	8.0¢	418.79	Mar 1
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	BUY	57.0¢	238.737	Mar 1
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?	SELL	59.5¢	228.91	Mar 1
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?	BUY	92.0¢	45.12	Mar 1
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?	SELL	91.0¢	45.61	Mar 1

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency33.3%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity115 trades · 35 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,1715d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue