Jad85

0x1e3bbb...19b1cc

Smart Score

Win Rate

61.1%

Total P&L

-$76

Trade Count

208

Sharpe Ratio

-0.25

Sortino Ratio

-0.42

Max Drawdown

943.5%

ROI

-0.7%

Profit Factor

0.91

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	BUY	89.0¢	11.236	Mar 5
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	SELL	81.0¢	127.9	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	BUY	87.0¢	5.747	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?	BUY	89.9¢	44.5	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	70.0¢	14.286	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	38.0¢	26.316	Mar 2
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?	SELL	3.8¢	131.57	Mar 2
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?	SELL	3.3¢	161.36	Mar 2
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?	BUY	76.0¢	131.579	Feb 27
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	85.0¢	117.647	Feb 27
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	BUY	86.0¢	127.907	Feb 27
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?	BUY	7.0¢	42.857	Feb 24
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	BUY	11.9¢	83.893	Feb 24
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	SELL	54.0¢	116.35	Feb 24
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	BUY	59.0¢	169.492	Feb 15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	SELL	95.6¢	364.73	Feb 15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	BUY	14.2¢	35.211	Feb 15
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?	BUY	12.0¢	25	Feb 15
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	BUY	43.0¢	116.354	Feb 11
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?	SELL	96.2¢	118.23	Feb 11

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.49

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.1%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.23

Drawdown Resilience0.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.14

Trading Activity171 trades · 65 active days

P&L Calendar

$58227d profit38d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue