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jasonliu123

0x4d8e9c...3533af
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
97.5%
Total P&L
+$124
Trade Count
168
Sharpe Ratio
-0.32
Sortino Ratio
-0.17
Max Drawdown
448.4%
ROI
1.4%
Profit Factor
2.37
Kelly Fraction
0.564
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 6, 2026?BUY99.0¢48Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 5?BUY87.4¢5.75Mar 4
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on March 5?BUY97.9¢12.3Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 4?BUY88.7¢1.98Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 4?BUY88.7¢3.02Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 5?BUY97.5¢57.5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on March 5?BUY97.5¢63.1Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 4?BUY94.0¢71.3Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 4?BUY98.6¢76.5Mar 3
Will Starmer say "Radcliffe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?BUY95.0¢40Mar 2
Will Paul Bondar be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?BUY87.9¢7.31Mar 2
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 3 Nottingham Forest FC?BUY98.0¢88.2Mar 2
Will Meta (META) close above $650 on March 2?BUY98.0¢102.8Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 4?BUY98.6¢28.6Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 4?BUY98.7¢25Mar 2
Will Paul Bondar be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?BUY97.9¢73.09Mar 1
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be less than $1,020,000 by March 1?BUY99.0¢93Feb 27
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?BUY84.0¢8.76Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 28?BUY96.1¢91.7Feb 26
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in February?SELL97.0¢6.02Feb 26

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%17%80–90%83%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.41
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.4%
Win Consistency49.6%
Profit Factor0.67
Drawdown Resilience0.54
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54
Weekly Sharpe est.0.41
Trading Activity168 trades · 76 active days
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P&L Calendar
$7,9606d profit70d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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