Jasper657
0x2dc568...c65d11
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
81.8%
Total P&L
-$3
Trade Count
11
Sharpe Ratio
0.57
Sortino Ratio
0.65
Max Drawdown
68.8%
ROI
-11.2%
Profit Factor
0.08
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
021.5/100100
Recent Trades
| Market | Side | Price | Size | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026? | BUY | 98.9¢ | 2.022 | Mar 5 |
| Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 97.2¢ | 3.086 | Mar 5 |
| Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election? | BUY | 92.8¢ | 2.155 | Mar 5 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? | BUY | 96.0¢ | 3.125 | Feb 24 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of February? | BUY | 99.6¢ | 6.024 | Feb 24 |
| Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | BUY | 92.0¢ | 3.261 | Feb 24 |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election? | BUY | 93.0¢ | 1.075 | Jan 21 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 97.8¢ | 1.227 | Jan 21 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 99.1¢ | 1.615 | Jan 21 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 end of December? | BUY | 99.9¢ | 1.001 | Dec 31 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: December | BUY | 99.0¢ | 1.01 | Dec 31 |
Analytics
Unlock full analytics on AccrueOdds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence
Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.5
Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager
Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.18
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.6%
Win Consistency45.5%
Profit Factor0.56
Drawdown Resilience0.45
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45
Weekly Sharpe est.0.34
Trading Activity11 trades · 4 active days
P&L Calendar
$250d profit4d loss
Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude
Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue
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