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JayAJie

0x2c0e04...d7fb07
Smart Score
14
Win Rate
29.3%
Total P&L
-$876
Trade Count
1,443
Sharpe Ratio
0.38
Sortino Ratio
1.90
Max Drawdown
1999.1%
ROI
-1.4%
Profit Factor
0.84
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
013.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY3.2¢1.06Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY13.1¢276.25Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY12.5¢3.73Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY12.9¢68.06Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY3.2¢20.71Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY11.7¢1.89Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY11.7¢20Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY11.7¢10Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY11.7¢18.11Mar 5
Thunder vs. KnicksSELL4.0¢240Mar 4
Trail Blazers vs. GrizzliesBUY74.0¢232.378Mar 4
Hornets vs. CelticsSELL0.8¢38Mar 4
Hornets vs. CelticsSELL4.1¢14.54Mar 4
Thunder vs. KnicksBUY21.0¢190.476Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?BUY82.0¢50Mar 4
Hornets vs. CelticsBUY18.0¢52.94Mar 4
Thunder vs. KnicksBUY20.0¢50Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL85.0¢66.41Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY49.0¢43.83Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY49.0¢26.17Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%37%< 10%21%10–20%6%20–30%14%30–50%9%50–70%4%70–80%4%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing13.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.76
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.6%
Win Consistency38.5%
Profit Factor0.36
Drawdown Resilience0.29
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29
Weekly Sharpe est.0.22
Trading Activity1,443 trades · 107 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$11,90924d profit83d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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