jayceemoen3

0x581d6e...b155f2

Smart Score

Win Rate

87.5%

Total P&L

-$2.1K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.97

Sortino Ratio

3.57

Max Drawdown

100.0%

ROI

-12.0%

Profit Factor

-0.00

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

017.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	2.2¢	2,085	Mar 5
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	2.5¢	215.5	Mar 4
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	2.5¢	1,869.5	Mar 4
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	2.5¢	2,085	Mar 4
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	0.6¢	50	Mar 4
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	0.6¢	1,350	Mar 4
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	0.6¢	1,400	Mar 3
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	SELL	1.4¢	1,450	Mar 3
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	BUY	1.4¢	1,450	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	2.2¢	630.8	Mar 2
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	2.2¢	1,169.2	Mar 2
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	2.0¢	600	Mar 2
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	2.0¢	1,200	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on March 2?	BUY	99.4¢	39	Mar 1
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	1.8¢	150	Feb 26
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	1.8¢	1,650	Feb 26
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	1.8¢	1,400	Feb 26
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	1.8¢	400	Feb 26
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	1.5¢	546.05	Feb 26
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	1.6¢	803.95	Feb 26

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing17.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.98

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.3%

Win Consistency56.3%

Profit Factor0.47

Drawdown Resilience0.38

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38

Weekly Sharpe est.0.29

Trading Activity43 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,1663d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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