JD-Vance

0x505941...67720c

Smart Score

Win Rate

72.7%

Total P&L

+$1.9K

Trade Count

2,050

Sharpe Ratio

0.78

Sortino Ratio

8.92

Max Drawdown

207.8%

ROI

4.4%

Profit Factor

7.44

Kelly Fraction

0.629

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

050.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	83.4¢	35.27	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	BUY	90.0¢	66.63	Mar 5
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?	SELL	60.0¢	18.88	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	20.0¢	33	Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	SELL	88.5¢	66.22	Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	13.8	Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	18	Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	18	Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	3	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	69.0¢	33	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	70.0¢	5	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	70.0¢	42.43	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	83.0¢	43.85	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	83.0¢	102.3	Mar 5
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?	SELL	60.0¢	1.74	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	82.0¢	27.86	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	72.0¢	6.85	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	75.0¢	8.15	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	74.0¢	11.41	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	52.0¢	26.55	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing50.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.76

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.6%

Win Consistency53.3%

Profit Factor1.30

Drawdown Resilience1.05

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.05

Weekly Sharpe est.0.80

Trading Activity2,050 trades · 52 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,61024d profit28d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue