Jerzy

0x59432f...402ef2

Smart Score

Win Rate

55.4%

Total P&L

+$52.2K

Trade Count

990

Sharpe Ratio

0.91

Sortino Ratio

2.37

Max Drawdown

202.3%

ROI

13.7%

Profit Factor

1.81

Kelly Fraction

0.247

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	18.0¢	3,653	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	13.6¢	1,326.228	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	20.0¢	300	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	71.0¢	499.98	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	39.0¢	750	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	40.0¢	300	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	19.0¢	1.61	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	19.0¢	6.1	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	19.0¢	100	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	19.0¢	5.148	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	19.0¢	6.45	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	19.0¢	1	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	20.0¢	486.8	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	20.0¢	12.5	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	20.0¢	700.7	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	26.0¢	400	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	71.0¢	563.44	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	71.0¢	51.724	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	71.0¢	17.241	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	71.0¢	34.483	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.62

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.9%

Win Consistency69.3%

Profit Factor0.77

Drawdown Resilience0.62

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.62

Weekly Sharpe est.0.47

Trading Activity990 trades · 52 active days

P&L Calendar

$109,16812d profit40d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue