jiaodangqin

0x2a1b3f...3e2dd3

Smart Score

Win Rate

37.5%

Total P&L

+$91

Trade Count

125

Sharpe Ratio

0.80

Sortino Ratio

9.43

Max Drawdown

142.9%

ROI

2.7%

Profit Factor

1.60

Kelly Fraction

0.141

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 5?	BUY	5.0¢	31.5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 5?	BUY	1.3¢	78.75	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 4?	BUY	3.8¢	52.895	Mar 4
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	94.0¢	31.03	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 4?	BUY	99.0¢	210	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 3?	BUY	98.4¢	0.52	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	14.5¢	23.034	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 3?	BUY	98.4¢	0.08	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 3?	BUY	98.4¢	228.75	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on March 2?	BUY	92.0¢	19.76	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on March 2?	BUY	99.1¢	0.74	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on March 2?	BUY	99.1¢	240	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on March 2?	BUY	2.8¢	103.571	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 49°F or below on March 2?	BUY	0.5¢	220	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 1?	BUY	1.1¢	215.455	Mar 1
Will Chainlink dip to $6 in February?	BUY	3.0¢	48.295	Feb 28
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,070,000 and $1,100,000 by March 1?	BUY	4.6¢	69.498	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?	BUY	98.8¢	240.833	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $630b and $640b on February 28?	BUY	1.1¢	241.818	Feb 27
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	BUY	2.3¢	73.043	Jan 30

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.59

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.3%

Win Consistency39.6%

Profit Factor0.75

Drawdown Resilience0.61

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61

Weekly Sharpe est.0.46

Trading Activity125 trades · 55 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,2920d profit54d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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