Jigglypuffsdad

0x43e825...f242eb

Smart Score

Win Rate

21.1%

Total P&L

+$544

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.91

Sortino Ratio

114.68

Max Drawdown

65.3%

ROI

79.7%

Profit Factor

7.76

Kelly Fraction

0.183

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

066.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	31.0¢	32.258	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	16.0¢	78.26	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	23.0¢	78.261	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	12.0¢	260.94	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	11.5¢	260.947	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	BUY	17.0¢	58.936	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	7.8¢	64.103	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	4.7¢	212.766	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	4.1¢	121.951	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	4.0¢	125	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	48.8¢	59.426	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	51.5¢	61.25	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	52.2¢	61.255	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 1?	BUY	17.0¢	58.987	Feb 28
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 23-March 1?	BUY	7.7¢	62.873	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	SELL	99.0¢	5.9	Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	BUY	2.0¢	50	Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	6	Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	BUY	1.0¢	100	Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	BUY	4.0¢	46.75	Feb 24

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active66.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.68

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)60.9%

Win Consistency52.4%

Profit Factor1.74

Drawdown Resilience1.40

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.40

Weekly Sharpe est.1.07

Trading Activity36 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$992d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue