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Jimmybear

0x2e423a...4a0dfe
Smart Score
66
Win Rate
20.7%
Total P&L
+$1.5K
Trade Count
2,527
Sharpe Ratio
2.06
Sortino Ratio
89.59
Max Drawdown
6.1%
ROI
36.3%
Profit Factor
2.90
Kelly Fraction
0.136
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
065.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?BUY6.0¢200Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?BUY20.0¢20Mar 5
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?SELL10.0¢13.56Mar 5
Will France strike Iran by March 31?SELL12.5¢128Mar 5
Will France strike Iran by March 31?SELL13.0¢27Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL16.0¢5Mar 5
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?SELL32.0¢5Mar 5
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?BUY30.0¢5Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY12.0¢5Mar 5
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?BUY0.6¢40.02Mar 5
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?BUY0.6¢31.187Mar 5
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on March 5?BUY0.4¢1.024Mar 5
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?BUY0.6¢28.782Mar 5
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on March 5?BUY0.4¢10.643Mar 5
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on March 5?BUY0.1¢500Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?SELL1.9¢28.8Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?SELL1.9¢21.181Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL21.0¢5Mar 5
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?BUY14.0¢5Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?BUY1.4¢77.56Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%80%< 10%8%10–20%7%20–30%4%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active65.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.62
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)60.0%
Win Consistency58.3%
Profit Factor1.71
Drawdown Resilience1.38
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.38
Weekly Sharpe est.1.05
Trading Activity2,527 trades · 12 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$7679d profit3d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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