JiuNiangxwz

0x32c01f...d6dc95@qtegp97226298
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
79.7%
Total P&L
-$88
Trade Count
59
Sharpe Ratio
-0.76
Sortino Ratio
-0.56
Max Drawdown
1366.2%
ROI
-4.4%
Profit Factor
0.14
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?BUY98.5¢1.015Mar 5
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?BUY98.8¢1.012Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?BUY99.0¢1.01Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY99.4¢1.006Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY99.8¢60.12Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY99.5¢30.151Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY93.0¢33.333Mar 2
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY98.4¢25.407Feb 26
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?BUY99.9¢2.002Feb 26
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?BUY99.9¢3.003Feb 26
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY99.9¢2.002Feb 26
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY99.5¢3.015Feb 26
Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY99.9¢5.005Feb 26
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY99.7¢5.015Feb 26
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY99.9¢5.005Feb 26
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY99.7¢3.009Feb 26
Will DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY99.9¢3.003Feb 26
Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY99.9¢5.005Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY99.8¢61.232Feb 13
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?BUY99.7¢61.113Feb 12
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%3%< 10%10–20%20–30%3%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%3%80–90%85%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency52.5%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity59 trades · 28 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,0060d profit28d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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