jiyge

0x4c9b4b...339dc7

Smart Score

Win Rate

44.1%

Total P&L

+$919

Trade Count

616

Sharpe Ratio

0.11

Sortino Ratio

0.32

Max Drawdown

8924.7%

ROI

0.5%

Profit Factor

1.12

Kelly Fraction

0.047

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	62.0¢	1,129.032	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	15.7¢	1,908.736	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	71.3¢	2,803.801	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	54.0¢	4,000	Mar 5
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	BUY	22.0¢	2,272.727	Mar 2
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?	SELL	58.0¢	6,514.54	Mar 1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?	SELL	75.0¢	2,514.36	Mar 1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	BUY	81.7¢	1,115.479	Mar 1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?	SELL	70.1¢	1,300	Mar 1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?	BUY	73.8¢	1,347.358	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	28.0¢	178.571	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	35.0¢	285.714	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	1,000	Feb 26
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?	BUY	81.1¢	2,467.006	Feb 26
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?	SELL	99.0¢	109.94	Feb 25
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?	SELL	99.0¢	12	Feb 25
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?	SELL	99.0¢	0.19	Feb 25
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?	SELL	99.0¢	34.22	Feb 25
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?	SELL	99.0¢	1.1	Feb 25
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?	SELL	99.0¢	914.25	Feb 25

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.71

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.7%

Win Consistency64.2%

Profit Factor0.34

Drawdown Resilience0.27

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.27

Weekly Sharpe est.0.21

Trading Activity437 trades · 65 active days

P&L Calendar

$21,07620d profit44d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue