jj1238

0x59f962...ca3739
Smart Score
14
Win Rate
32.3%
Total P&L
+$2.9K
Trade Count
90
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28
Sortino Ratio
-0.50
Max Drawdown
204.8%
ROI
11.6%
Profit Factor
3.22
Kelly Fraction
0.223
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
014.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?BUY26.0¢200Feb 1
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?BUY26.0¢0.03Feb 1
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?BUY26.0¢253.53Jan 29
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?BUY68.0¢100Jan 29
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?SELL99.9¢11,239.5Jan 25
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?BUY69.0¢636.46Jan 7
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?BUY69.0¢3.226Jan 7
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?BUY69.0¢161.29Jan 7
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?BUY69.0¢10Jan 7
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?BUY69.0¢9.09Jan 7
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?BUY69.0¢9.09Jan 7
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?BUY69.0¢34.08Jan 7
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?BUY69.0¢1.58Jan 6
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?BUY69.0¢2.72Jan 6
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?BUY69.0¢163.613Jan 6
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?BUY69.0¢10Jan 6
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?BUY69.0¢1.4Jan 6
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?BUY69.0¢1.4Jan 6
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?BUY69.0¢101.7Jan 6
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?BUY69.0¢1,400Jan 6
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%5%10–20%8%20–30%23%30–50%56%50–70%5%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing14.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.79
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.0%
Win Consistency38.7%
Profit Factor0.37
Drawdown Resilience0.30
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.30
Weekly Sharpe est.0.23
Trading Activity90 trades · 14 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$2,0544d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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