jj1238
0x59f962...ca3739
Smart Score
14
Win Rate
32.3%
Total P&L
+$2.9K
Trade Count
90
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28
Sortino Ratio
-0.50
Max Drawdown
204.8%
ROI
11.6%
Profit Factor
3.22
Kelly Fraction
0.223
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
014.3/100100
Recent Trades
| Market | Side | Price | Size | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 26.0¢ | 200 | Feb 1 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 26.0¢ | 0.03 | Feb 1 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 26.0¢ | 253.53 | Jan 29 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | BUY | 68.0¢ | 100 | Jan 29 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SELL | 99.9¢ | 11,239.5 | Jan 25 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 69.0¢ | 636.46 | Jan 7 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 69.0¢ | 3.226 | Jan 7 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 69.0¢ | 161.29 | Jan 7 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 69.0¢ | 10 | Jan 7 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 69.0¢ | 9.09 | Jan 7 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 69.0¢ | 9.09 | Jan 7 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 69.0¢ | 34.08 | Jan 7 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 69.0¢ | 1.58 | Jan 6 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 69.0¢ | 2.72 | Jan 6 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 69.0¢ | 163.613 | Jan 6 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 69.0¢ | 10 | Jan 6 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 69.0¢ | 1.4 | Jan 6 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 69.0¢ | 1.4 | Jan 6 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 69.0¢ | 101.7 | Jan 6 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 69.0¢ | 1,400 | Jan 6 |
Analytics
Unlock full analytics on AccrueOdds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range
Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing14.3
Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager
Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.79
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.0%
Win Consistency38.7%
Profit Factor0.37
Drawdown Resilience0.30
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.30
Weekly Sharpe est.0.23
Trading Activity90 trades · 14 active days
P&L Calendar
+$2,0544d profit10d loss
Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude
Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue
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