jkiyg

0x6eb3b6...c375a8@PrivatePolonsky

Smart Score

Win Rate

92.0%

Total P&L

+$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.05

Sortino Ratio

-0.05

Max Drawdown

500.0%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

1.38

Kelly Fraction

0.256

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 6?	BUY	99.9¢	91.001	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 1?	BUY	99.7¢	89.268	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	1.303	Feb 28
Will Alibaba have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	1.203	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	89.089	Feb 15
Will Countdown App be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?	BUY	99.0¢	1.333	Feb 15
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	1.201	Feb 15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 9?	BUY	99.9¢	91.741	Feb 8
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on February 3?	BUY	99.9¢	67.127	Feb 2
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B	BUY	66.0¢	24.515	Feb 2
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	79.319	Jan 29
Will UpScrolled be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?	BUY	98.3¢	1.322	Jan 29
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in January 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.251	Jan 29
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	80.08	Jan 24
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	1.353	Jan 24
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 14m?	BUY	99.4¢	1.207	Jan 24
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	83.053	Jan 20
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on January 16?	BUY	99.9¢	82.962	Jan 16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 11?	BUY	99.9¢	81.081	Jan 11
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	BUY	99.9¢	1.331	Jan 11

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.11

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.4%

Win Consistency65.3%

Profit Factor0.53

Drawdown Resilience0.42

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42

Weekly Sharpe est.0.32

Trading Activity75 trades · 27 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,2830d profit27d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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