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jman1221

0x666f59...e89ddf
Smart Score
20
Win Rate
38.9%
Total P&L
+$6.9K
Trade Count
953
Sharpe Ratio
-0.94
Sortino Ratio
-1.66
Max Drawdown
587.7%
ROI
211.1%
Profit Factor
3.78
Kelly Fraction
0.286
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
020.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on February 18?BUY81.0¢11.77Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on February 18?BUY72.0¢13.88Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on February 17?BUY98.8¢5.05Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on February 17?BUY98.0¢5.05Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 17?BUY97.5¢5.05Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on February 18?BUY96.8¢5.12Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on February 18?BUY99.0¢5.88Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on February 17?BUY90.0¢9.03Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 18?BUY95.0¢9.05Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 17?BUY92.0¢10.86Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on February 17?BUY92.0¢9.37Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on February 17?BUY84.0¢10.05Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 18?BUY68.0¢3.125Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 17?BUY55.0¢5.86Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 17?BUY55.0¢3.302Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 17?BUY60.0¢8.19Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 15?BUY48.0¢10.52Feb 14
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on February 14?BUY52.0¢12.27Feb 13
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 13?BUY52.0¢18.89Feb 13
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 13?BUY52.0¢0.335Feb 13

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%57%< 10%7%10–20%20–30%5%30–50%10%50–70%70–80%3%80–90%14%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.12
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.5%
Win Consistency45.1%
Profit Factor0.53
Drawdown Resilience0.43
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43
Weekly Sharpe est.0.32
Trading Activity953 trades · 15 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,4081d profit14d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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