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Joebutt

0x41f9c0...8a7ed9
Smart Score
23
Win Rate
24.0%
Total P&L
-$66
Trade Count
121
Sharpe Ratio
1.04
Sortino Ratio
79.71
Max Drawdown
1214.3%
ROI
-2.3%
Profit Factor
0.62
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
023.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL99.1¢13.22Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL11.0¢11.31Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL26.0¢16.56Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL26.0¢3.846Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL11.0¢9.091Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL3.5¢20.41Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL38.0¢20.41Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL17.5¢20.41Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY75.6¢13.228Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY57.1¢1.751Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL0.1¢31.58Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL80.0¢29.03Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL80.0¢2.55Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL1.3¢20.4Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL0.7¢20.41Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL0.2¢20.41Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL0.1¢20.41Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY98.0¢20.415Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL1.1¢31.58Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL0.4¢31.58Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%25%< 10%20%10–20%5%20–30%4%30–50%22%50–70%5%70–80%9%80–90%9%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing23.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.28
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.1%
Win Consistency51.1%
Profit Factor0.60
Drawdown Resilience0.49
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49
Weekly Sharpe est.0.37
Trading Activity121 trades · 20 active days
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P&L Calendar
$9510d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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