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johannescortez

0x6764bd...23e66a
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
50.7%
Total P&L
+$103
Trade Count
565
Sharpe Ratio
0.91
Sortino Ratio
22.47
Max Drawdown
209.4%
ROI
6.4%
Profit Factor
1.24
Kelly Fraction
0.100
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
028.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?SELL76.3¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?SELL75.0¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?SELL77.0¢1Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?SELL78.0¢15Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?SELL78.0¢6.9Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 5?BUY12.9¢38.697Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 5?BUY24.0¢18.5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on March 5?SELL0.1¢4.42Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 5?SELL26.0¢14Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 67°F or below on March 5?SELL0.4¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 5?SELL37.0¢15Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 6?BUY28.0¢0.01Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 6?BUY22.0¢16.59Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 6?BUY38.0¢2Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 6?BUY38.0¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 6?BUY28.0¢4.38Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 6?BUY32.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 5?BUY22.0¢3Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 6?BUY28.0¢6.944Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 6?BUY34.0¢14Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%6%< 10%4%10–20%5%20–30%22%30–50%50%50–70%4%70–80%5%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.55
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.6%
Win Consistency44.4%
Profit Factor0.73
Drawdown Resilience0.59
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59
Weekly Sharpe est.0.45
Trading Activity565 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,0011d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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