johnbotson

0x646f26...a05bb0

Smart Score

Win Rate

53.8%

Total P&L

-$322

Trade Count

406

Sharpe Ratio

0.55

Sortino Ratio

9.23

Max Drawdown

0.0%

ROI

-18.3%

Profit Factor

0.57

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

049.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Kigali: Luka Pavlovic vs Stefano Napolitano	BUY	73.0¢	1.02	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	BUY	37.0¢	1.02	Mar 5
Antalya 2: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Iryna Shymanovich	BUY	94.0¢	1.02	Mar 5
Antalya 2: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Iryna Shymanovich	BUY	94.0¢	1.02	Mar 5
Will Solana reach $110 in March?	BUY	67.0¢	1.02	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3AM ET	BUY	90.0¢	1.02	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	BUY	40.9¢	1.02	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3AM ET	BUY	10.0¢	1.02	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	BUY	30.9¢	1.02	Mar 5
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FriendlyCampers (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	BUY	43.0¢	1.02	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	BUY	54.0¢	1.02	Mar 5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	BUY	20.0¢	1.02	Mar 5
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	BUY	53.0¢	1.49	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	10.1	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	10.1	Feb 27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	66.0¢	10.1	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BUY	85.0¢	2.94	Feb 26
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	BUY	61.0¢	10.1	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	42.0¢	15.15	Feb 26
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	BUY	71.0¢	15.15	Feb 26

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing49.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.73

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.2%

Win Consistency36.0%

Profit Factor1.29

Drawdown Resilience1.04

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.04

Weekly Sharpe est.0.80

Trading Activity406 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,4910d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue