JohnCenaLover

JohnCenaLover

0x63a6c3...c5f308
Smart Score
42
Win Rate
38.4%
Total P&L
+$2.3K
Trade Count
982
Sharpe Ratio
0.25
Sortino Ratio
3.90
Max Drawdown
74.1%
ROI
1.2%
Profit Factor
1.07
Kelly Fraction
0.026
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
041.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the New York Mets win the NL East Division?SELL1.2¢71Sep 2
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the NL East Division?SELL2.0¢78Sep 2
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?SELL0.8¢12,795.89Sep 2
Will Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?SELL2.6¢140Sep 1
Will Auburn win the 2026 College Football National Championship?SELL1.0¢473.08Sep 1
Will Missouri win the 2026 College Football National Championship?SELL0.3¢2,274.69Sep 1
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?SELL0.2¢1,257.34Sep 1
Will Texas A&M win the 2026 College Football National Championship?SELL0.1¢89.63Sep 1
Will Texas A&M win the 2026 College Football National Championship?SELL0.6¢496Sep 1
Will South Carolina win the 2026 College Football National Championship?SELL0.7¢1,830.51Sep 1
Will Oklahoma win the 2026 College Football National Championship?SELL0.7¢900.89Sep 1
Will Tennessee win the 2026 College Football National Championship?SELL0.3¢630.35Sep 1
Will USC win the 2026 College Football National Championship?SELL0.9¢1,328.04Sep 1
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?SELL2.1¢356Sep 1
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship?SELL17.9¢10Sep 1
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?SELL66.7¢148.3Sep 1
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?SELL84.2¢2,753.32Sep 1
Will South Carolina win the 2026 College Football National Championship?SELL1.0¢140Sep 1
Will Missouri win the 2026 College Football National Championship?BUY0.6¢11.66Aug 31
Will Missouri win the 2026 College Football National Championship?BUY0.6¢27.14Aug 31
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%47%< 10%13%10–20%9%20–30%8%30–50%8%50–70%7%70–80%4%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing41.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.29
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.0%
Win Consistency55.0%
Profit Factor1.08
Drawdown Resilience0.88
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.88
Weekly Sharpe est.0.67
Trading Activity982 trades · 89 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$89,97331d profit58d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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