JohnsonThompson
0x2fc838...3c9756
Smart Score
14
Win Rate
63.6%
Total P&L
+$1
Trade Count
11
Sharpe Ratio
-1.93
Sortino Ratio
-1.61
Max Drawdown
7735.2%
ROI
2.4%
Profit Factor
15.33
Kelly Fraction
0.595
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
014.3/100100
Recent Trades
| Market | Side | Price | Size | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $3.20 in March? | BUY | 99.6¢ | 9.036 | Mar 5 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | BUY | 96.0¢ | 4.167 | Mar 5 |
| Will "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15? | BUY | 96.0¢ | 4.167 | Mar 5 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 94.2¢ | 2.123 | Mar 5 |
| Will XRP reach $2.60 in February? | BUY | 99.7¢ | 9.027 | Feb 22 |
| Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stage | BUY | 82.0¢ | 3.659 | Feb 22 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | BUY | 99.5¢ | 9.045 | Feb 22 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026? | BUY | 96.5¢ | 2.28 | Jan 30 |
| Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | BUY | 94.0¢ | 3.191 | Jan 30 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30? | BUY | 91.9¢ | 3.156 | Jan 30 |
| Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66? | BUY | 98.1¢ | 3.874 | Jan 30 |
Analytics
Unlock full analytics on AccrueOdds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence
Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets
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Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing14.3
Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager
Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.79
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.0%
Win Consistency36.4%
Profit Factor0.37
Drawdown Resilience0.30
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.30
Weekly Sharpe est.0.23
Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue
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