jonathanlindsey

0x0f6dae...ef5bc2

Smart Score

Win Rate

74.6%

Total P&L

+$36

Trade Count

242

Sharpe Ratio

-0.81

Sortino Ratio

-1.02

Max Drawdown

900.0%

ROI

0.5%

Profit Factor

4.44

Kelly Fraction

0.578

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.9¢	40	Mar 5
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	39	Mar 2
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.9¢	39	Feb 19
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.7¢	41	Feb 16
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.0¢	41	Feb 13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	40	Jan 31
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	0.7¢	142	Jan 31
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	0.8¢	142	Jan 30
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	0.5¢	17	Jan 28
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.0¢	41	Jan 26
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.4¢	40	Jan 25
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.5¢	40	Jan 23
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	0.6¢	26	Jan 23
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	0.6¢	92	Jan 23
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	99.3¢	40	Jan 23
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.4¢	40	Jan 22
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	0.5¢	67	Jan 22
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	0.6¢	185	Jan 21
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	0.1¢	215	Jan 21
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	40	Jan 21

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.27

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.0%

Win Consistency21.0%

Profit Factor0.60

Drawdown Resilience0.49

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity242 trades · 183 active days

P&L Calendar

$45489d profit94d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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