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JonnyA

0x38d5a1...4c063c
Smart Score
30
Win Rate
63.4%
Total P&L
+$2.1K
Trade Count
3,961
Sharpe Ratio
0.16
Sortino Ratio
13.44
Max Drawdown
233.2%
ROI
1.7%
Profit Factor
1.38
Kelly Fraction
0.174
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
030.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 3?BUY99.8¢171.73Mar 5
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on March 4?BUY99.8¢102.52Mar 4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 6, 2026?SELL82.0¢100Mar 4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 6, 2026?BUY89.0¢100Mar 4
Will Trump say "ICE" or "Border Patrol" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY99.1¢60.56Mar 4
Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?BUY99.8¢800Mar 3
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary and General Elections?BUY99.8¢2,000Mar 3
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary and General Elections?BUY99.7¢198.83Mar 3
Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?BUY99.7¢100.87Mar 3
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY99.5¢506Mar 3
Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY97.5¢10Mar 3
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY98.0¢10Mar 3
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY97.6¢80Mar 3
Will Trump say "Cold" or "Colder" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY99.4¢22.87Mar 3
Will Trump say "Greenland" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY99.3¢69.05Mar 3
Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY99.4¢181.92Mar 3
Will Trump say "Cold" or "Colder" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY99.1¢40.25Mar 3
Will Trump say "Cold" or "Colder" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY99.0¢29.56Mar 3
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY97.4¢19.74Mar 3
Will Trump say "Auto" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY99.3¢50Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%35%< 10%10–20%20–30%5%30–50%6%50–70%5%70–80%10%80–90%36%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing30.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.67
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.7%
Win Consistency39.3%
Profit Factor0.79
Drawdown Resilience0.64
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.64
Weekly Sharpe est.0.49
Trading Activity2,424 trades · 221 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$73,38232d profit189d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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