Joyce333

0x3ce2d5...97aceb

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.0%

Total P&L

-$12

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-2.13

Sortino Ratio

-1.84

Max Drawdown

664.0%

ROI

-2.4%

Profit Factor

0.73

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?	BUY	91.0¢	7.67	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	92.3¢	5	Mar 5
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 2 above $390?	BUY	93.0¢	7.4	Mar 5
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	87.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	87.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?	SELL	86.1¢	5	Mar 4
BNP Paribas Open: Quentin Halys vs Adam Walton	BUY	90.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?	BUY	93.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	89.2¢	5	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Solana dip to $40 in March?	BUY	95.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	93.0¢	6	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?	BUY	94.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	92.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	93.7¢	5	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	92.4¢	5	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	92.0¢	5	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.29

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.7%

Win Consistency52.5%

Profit Factor0.14

Drawdown Resilience0.11

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.11

Weekly Sharpe est.0.08

Trading Activity84 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$3782d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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