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JPRBotelho

0x0e6ff5...741f19
Smart Score
14
Win Rate
65.1%
Total P&L
-$28
Trade Count
139
Sharpe Ratio
0.45
Sortino Ratio
0.73
Max Drawdown
257.8%
ROI
-1.0%
Profit Factor
0.79
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
014/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL69.0¢5Mar 5
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL86.0¢5Mar 5
Will President Trump sign 2 pieces of legislation into law in March?BUY12.0¢20Mar 4
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 7, 2026?BUY73.0¢18.63Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?SELL94.0¢30Mar 4
Will President Trump sign 0 pieces of legislation into law in March?BUY12.0¢20Mar 4
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY63.0¢5Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY44.0¢5Mar 4
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?BUY93.0¢5Mar 4
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL38.0¢20Mar 4
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?BUY26.0¢10Mar 3
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?BUY22.0¢5.52Mar 3
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL18.4¢15Mar 3
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL18.4¢30Mar 3
Will President Trump sign 1 piece of legislation into law in March?BUY10.0¢20Mar 2
Will President Trump sign 1 piece of legislation into law in March?BUY10.0¢20Mar 2
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY32.0¢10Mar 2
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL19.0¢30Mar 2
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY35.0¢10Mar 2
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL78.7¢11.38Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%12%< 10%8%10–20%7%20–30%10%30–50%11%50–70%14%70–80%19%80–90%17%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing14

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.77
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.7%
Win Consistency59.1%
Profit Factor0.36
Drawdown Resilience0.29
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29
Weekly Sharpe est.0.22
Trading Activity139 trades · 26 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,14610d profit16d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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