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JpY

0x200af3...0fd498
Smart Score
33
Win Rate
62.3%
Total P&L
+$18.1K
Trade Count
943
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Sortino Ratio
0.95
Max Drawdown
229.7%
ROI
20.3%
Profit Factor
3.46
Kelly Fraction
0.443
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
033.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration? SELL96.3¢709.6Jan 15
State wide recount in Presidential Election? SELL98.0¢198.77Nov 18
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?BUY63.0¢81.68Nov 15
State wide recount in Presidential Election? SELL98.0¢1.224Nov 14
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?BUY12.0¢690.27Nov 14
Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?BUY78.0¢109.54Nov 13
Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?BUY14.7¢623.72Nov 12
Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?BUY14.7¢30Nov 12
Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?BUY14.7¢1,134.56Nov 12
Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?BUY14.7¢211.72Nov 12
Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?SELL49.9¢760Nov 12
Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?BUY76.0¢668.09Nov 11
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?BUY65.0¢250Nov 11
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?BUY66.0¢500Nov 11
State wide recount in Presidential Election? SELL98.0¢20Nov 10
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?BUY78.0¢160.42Nov 10
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?BUY73.0¢250Nov 10
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?BUY77.0¢211Nov 10
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?BUY72.0¢270Nov 10
Eagles vs. CowboysBUY76.0¢423.96Nov 10

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%6%< 10%8%10–20%6%20–30%16%30–50%38%50–70%14%70–80%8%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing33.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.83
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.3%
Win Consistency54.5%
Profit Factor0.87
Drawdown Resilience0.70
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.70
Weekly Sharpe est.0.53

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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