jq4s3v4m

0x556331...6d1053

Smart Score

Win Rate

90.6%

Total P&L

-$4

Trade Count

396

Sharpe Ratio

-0.25

Sortino Ratio

-0.35

Max Drawdown

1588.4%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

135.50

Kelly Fraction

0.900

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.1¢	45.19	Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	96.2¢	47.61	Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	47.61	Mar 4
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	93.6¢	51.97	Mar 4
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	51.97	Mar 4
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	93.1¢	46.79	Mar 4
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	92.4¢	6.23	Mar 4
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	92.4¢	40.56	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.3¢	49.07	Mar 3
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	94.6¢	49.07	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	52.98	Mar 1
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.7¢	52.98	Mar 1
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	96.1¢	52.54	Mar 1
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.2¢	52.54	Mar 1
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	97.4¢	51.71	Feb 28
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	97.6¢	51.71	Feb 28
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	SELL	97.5¢	49.09	Feb 28
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	BUY	97.6¢	49.09	Feb 28
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	97.4¢	52.67	Feb 28
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	97.5¢	52.67	Feb 28

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.71

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.3%

Win Consistency35.6%

Profit Factor0.81

Drawdown Resilience0.65

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.65

Weekly Sharpe est.0.50

Trading Activity396 trades · 32 active days

P&L Calendar

$5215d profit17d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue