jsv

0x79ad08...174a3e

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.6%

Total P&L

-$357

Trade Count

434

Sharpe Ratio

-0.52

Sortino Ratio

-0.41

Max Drawdown

1755.8%

ROI

-0.6%

Profit Factor

0.69

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	95.4¢	209.737	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	99.2¢	309.93	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	SELL	99.2¢	310.62	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?	SELL	99.6¢	312.5	Mar 4
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	91.2¢	328.958	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	96.0¢	312.5	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	95.0¢	210.526	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	SELL	98.5¢	208.33	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.8¢	417.6	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	BUY	96.6¢	310.623	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 3?	SELL	99.1¢	307.37	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?	BUY	95.0¢	210.526	Mar 3
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	BUY	96.0¢	208.333	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	96.8¢	309.937	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?	SELL	98.7¢	208.09	Mar 2
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?	BUY	96.1¢	208.095	Mar 2
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BUY	94.3¢	106.089	Mar 2
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?	BUY	94.7¢	105.649	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?	SELL	97.9¢	210.52	Mar 2
US forces enter Iran by March 3?	BUY	97.6¢	307.377	Mar 2

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.54

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.0%

Win Consistency68.8%

Profit Factor0.26

Drawdown Resilience0.21

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.21

Weekly Sharpe est.0.16

Trading Activity434 trades · 70 active days

P&L Calendar

$5,49334d profit36d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue