JumpingJacks

0x00e1e8...16b679

Smart Score

Win Rate

56.5%

Total P&L

+$26.9K

Trade Count

1,000

Sharpe Ratio

-1.72

Sortino Ratio

-2.91

Max Drawdown

2358.4%

ROI

27.4%

Profit Factor

1.69

Kelly Fraction

0.231

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	BUY	74.0¢	41	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	BUY	51.0¢	8	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	49.0¢	1,000	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	56.0¢	222.23	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	56.0¢	24.773	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	56.0¢	109	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	56.0¢	100	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	56.0¢	43.99	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	49.0¢	26.449	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	49.0¢	2,000	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	49.0¢	4.082	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	49.0¢	2.245	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	49.0¢	6.42	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	49.0¢	4.082	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	49.0¢	2.245	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	49.0¢	6.42	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	49.0¢	4.082	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	49.0¢	2.245	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	49.0¢	4.082	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	49.0¢	2.245	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.51

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.5%

Win Consistency29.6%

Profit Factor0.24

Drawdown Resilience0.20

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.20

Weekly Sharpe est.0.15

Trading Activity1,000 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$42,0296d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue