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jun0204

0x1d42b0...356e4c
Smart Score
35
Win Rate
16.9%
Total P&L
+$2.4K
Trade Count
285
Sharpe Ratio
0.56
Sortino Ratio
180.60
Max Drawdown
216.3%
ROI
90.6%
Profit Factor
28.03
Kelly Fraction
0.163
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL13.1¢345.88Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL7.3¢551.06Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL11.6¢540.69Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL6.2¢305.45Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL8.3¢234.72Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY11.7¢85.47Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY10.7¢93.39Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY6.3¢158.221Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY4.4¢114.523Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY4.7¢105.543Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY4.4¢113.478Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL2.6¢199.9Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY2.5¢399.813Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY3.2¢312.693Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL12.8¢289.11Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL11.2¢151.51Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?SELL36.6¢306.07Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?SELL26.0¢156.25Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL0.2¢500Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL0.3¢232.38Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%68%< 10%18%10–20%4%20–30%5%30–50%3%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.90
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.4%
Win Consistency28.6%
Profit Factor0.90
Drawdown Resilience0.72
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.72
Weekly Sharpe est.0.55
Trading Activity285 trades · 48 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$19623d profit25d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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