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justApredictdog

justApredictdog

0x5fc508...e5610e
Smart Score
40
Win Rate
24.7%
Total P&L
+$4.1K
Trade Count
1,000
Sharpe Ratio
3.59
Sortino Ratio
5.25
Max Drawdown
174.3%
ROI
61.9%
Profit Factor
4.51
Kelly Fraction
0.192
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
039.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?BUY7.0¢20Mar 4
Will Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?BUY16.0¢27Mar 4
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY3.4¢20Mar 4
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?SELL5.2¢5Mar 4
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?BUY5.2¢20Mar 4
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?SELL5.8¢50Mar 4
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?BUY5.8¢50Mar 4
Will Don Tracy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?SELL9.0¢50Mar 4
Will Don Tracy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?BUY10.0¢50Mar 4
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL7.0¢20Mar 4
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY8.0¢20Mar 4
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-08 House seat?SELL6.0¢5Mar 4
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-08 House seat?BUY6.0¢5Mar 4
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-10 House seat?SELL10.0¢8.86Mar 4
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-10 House seat?BUY10.0¢8.86Mar 4
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL2.8¢20Mar 4
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?SELL89.4¢10.55Mar 4
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?BUY89.4¢10.55Mar 4
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY2.8¢20Mar 4
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?SELL5.8¢1.59Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%57%< 10%27%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%8%80–90%6%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing39.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.18
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.0%
Win Consistency70.2%
Profit Factor1.03
Drawdown Resilience0.83
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.83
Weekly Sharpe est.0.63
Trading Activity1,000 trades · 5 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$2273d profit2d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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