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jyttt

0x389acd...4acf3d
Smart Score
73
Win Rate
62.1%
Total P&L
+$12.2K
Trade Count
837
Sharpe Ratio
0.72
Sortino Ratio
78.33
Max Drawdown
53.8%
ROI
65.0%
Profit Factor
19.62
Kelly Fraction
0.590
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
072.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?BUY47.0¢34.98Mar 4
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?BUY47.0¢8.34Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY40.0¢16.96Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY40.0¢74.89Mar 4
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?BUY47.0¢8.34Mar 4
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?BUY47.0¢8.34Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?BUY99.7¢900Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL87.0¢19.01Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY99.9¢1,664.7Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY83.0¢493.8Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY83.0¢10.08Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY83.0¢10Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?SELL0.7¢17.57Mar 4
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?SELL75.0¢5.44Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL99.6¢1,602.96Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL99.6¢1.23Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL99.6¢0.32Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL99.6¢0.32Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY98.3¢55.51Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY98.3¢0.74Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%54%< 10%10–20%20–30%4%30–50%12%50–70%9%70–80%8%80–90%10%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active72.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)66.3%
Win Consistency50.8%
Profit Factor1.89
Drawdown Resilience1.53
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.53
Weekly Sharpe est.1.16
Trading Activity837 trades · 24 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$10,4334d profit20d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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