k4l4skn1k0v

0x7049fb...186a80@gupfuodoyxo

Smart Score

Win Rate

56.3%

Total P&L

-$107

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.91

Sortino Ratio

1.66

Max Drawdown

41.8%

ROI

-1.1%

Profit Factor

1.39

Kelly Fraction

0.159

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

043.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	53.0¢	424.528	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	51.0¢	259.74	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	SELL	77.0¢	120.48	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	83.0¢	9.83	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	63.0¢	336.508	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	97.4¢	217.64	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	80.0¢	262.5	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	BUY	83.0¢	120.482	Mar 3
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	77.0¢	259.74	Mar 3
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	SELL	28.0¢	967.74	Mar 3
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	SELL	16.0¢	1,501.5	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	57.0¢	291.298	Mar 3
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	78.0¢	212.87	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	69.0¢	229.464	Mar 1
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	79.0¢	196.49	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	85.0¢	217.647	Mar 1
US civil war before 2027?	BUY	10.7¢	2,791.478	Feb 28
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	BUY	20.0¢	1,501.5	Feb 28
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	BUY	31.0¢	967.742	Feb 28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	73.3¢	409.361	Feb 28

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing43.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.37

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)39.2%

Win Consistency55.0%

Profit Factor1.12

Drawdown Resilience0.91

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.91

Weekly Sharpe est.0.69

Trading Activity47 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,5366d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue