KafkaMaster

0x00f996...b89b66

Smart Score

Win Rate

77.8%

Total P&L

+$17.5K

Trade Count

113

Sharpe Ratio

-0.04

Sortino Ratio

-0.04

Max Drawdown

110.6%

ROI

11.9%

Profit Factor

2.81

Kelly Fraction

0.501

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	SELL	6.0¢	2,442.6	Jan 18
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?	BUY	66.0¢	29.412	Dec 8
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?	BUY	66.0¢	29.412	Dec 8
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?	BUY	66.0¢	20	Dec 8
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?	BUY	66.0¢	164	Dec 8
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?	BUY	66.0¢	29.41	Dec 8
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?	BUY	66.0¢	334	Dec 8
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?	BUY	66.0¢	1.85	Dec 8
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?	BUY	66.0¢	5.41	Dec 8
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	SELL	93.0¢	1,500	Dec 8
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	93.0¢	2,150.441	Dec 7
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	BUY	72.7¢	1,150.89	Dec 3
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	SELL	93.0¢	900	Dec 3
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	BUY	77.0¢	592.208	Dec 1
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	SELL	76.0¢	600	Dec 1
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	BUY	77.0¢	1,299.506	Dec 1
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	52.0¢	1,921.865	Nov 13
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.4¢	8,004.6	Nov 6
Will Biden finish his term?	SELL	86.0¢	2,150	Nov 5
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	BUY	55.8¢	4,623.656	Nov 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.52

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.1%

Win Consistency55.6%

Profit Factor0.72

Drawdown Resilience0.58

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Trading Activity17 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,8632d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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